J
Joerg
Joel said:Hi Joerg,
Sure, they don't need it, but they're perfectly willing to pay for it.
Kids on long car trips today often have their choice of movies (DVD
player or laptop), audio (iPhone or similar), or games (PSP or
similar). That's entertainment, all right! ;-)
Not a joke, unfortunately: Friends bought a new minivan so that grandson
can watch VHS tapes while they were driving. I think it all goes a bit
far in today's society. We don't have kids but I certainly would not do
that.
Oh, and I suppose there are those things called "books" as well,
although today some people will be reading them on a Kindle or laptop as
an eBook.![]()
I will never buy a Kindle. I mean, first you pay $150-200, then you are
perfectly vendor-locked to buy e-books from Amazon. No way. If I ever
felt the urge to read an e-book out by the pool I'd use the netbook.
Compared to video, no, but it's kinda like leaving a dripping facuet
going... a 128kbps stream listened to for, say, 5 hours a day for 20
days a month is 5.76GB of data per month, which is *well* beyond what
most cell phone data plans figure you "should" be using -- even on
"unlimited" plans. (I have an "unlimited" Sprint plan but the
unofficial policy is that once you go past ~1GB per month, you're on
Sprint's radar and they may chose to simply no longer offer to provide
data services to you except at the "casual" rate of... one penny per
*kilobyte!*.)
But then they must let you out of the 2-year agreement for free or you
could drag them to court. Breach of contract and all that. After all,
_they_ also signed on the dotted line
Anyhow, when I listen to Bluegrass I try to be a good netizen and select
the 32k stream. It's good enough. But I never listen 5h/day for 20 days,
it's only on when I check Gerber files for EMI gotchas. I get less tired
that way.
It'd be interestingly to see the volume over time for, e.g., 56kbps
modems. I would expect a pretty fast ramp up, with a shallower decline,
and of course they're still available today -- but probably selling
1/100th as many annually as at the peak? Effectively that particular
"standard" in modems probably lasted for <10 years (ignoring the niche
market that's still around today)?
They will be around for a long time. First, there's lots of 3rd world
countries where the roll-out of anything broadband is years away, if it
ever happens. Tne there's the boonies, I guess even HughesNet will
become iffy in some areas north of the Klondike. Last but not least,
people often ignore a backup plan. Most of our neighbors will not know
how to access their email when the DSL goes down. Even if they did know
they couldn't because they foolishly sold their modem at a garage sale
years ago for 50 cents. In the same way that they didn't keep at least
one POTS phone that doesn't rely on electricity. We do, I even upgraded
that to a speakerphone for $1, yep, at a garage sale ... and the last
time we needed that sort of backup was three days ago.
Interestingly, things like credit card machines and ATMs often purposely
use 2400bps even today, as the long (many seconds) training sequence
period that 56kbps modems use requires more time than just squirting the
hundreds of bytes CC/ATM transactions require through a 2400bps modem
(that doesn't a long training sequence).
I found that 56k connections only work very locally. When I did data
transfers across the pond a couple decades ago the most I could reliably
work at was 4800bd, sometimes 1200bd was required.