Joel said:
It's not super-loud, just annoying. They can retreat into another room
if it goes on their nerves.
"Eventually" is still some time away -- even on I-5 there are still
numerous where 3G/4G service is unavailable. Also keep in mind that
3G/4G provide no guaranteed bandwidth, so in other areas even though you
effectively may have your Internet connection, the bandwidth and latency
will be unacceptable for a good, solid audio stream.
Yep, the Siskiyou range is dead even for regular GSM or CDMA networks.
Anyhow, I don't think mankind really needs the constant din of radio at
all times. I am perfectly happy with AM/FM and a CD (or cassette)
player. Often I turn all this off, roll down the window and listen to
the roar of a Harley in front of me. Or I think about some circuitry or
technical problem. There's always a little notebook in the glove
compartment. The real thing, made from dead trees.
Truckers will continue to be a good market for Sirius/XM -- they have to
drive across those boonies, and even in areas with 3G/4G coverage,
unless you have an unlimited data plan (and these are becoming harder
and harder to obtain -- and more and more expensive when they are
obtainable), it'll cost you rather a lot to use it.
Audio isn't very demanding in bandwidth. When I do layout checks I often
listen to Bluegrass on an Internet station. The modem is right here in
the office and the yellow traffic LED barely flashes. Not like when a
fat PDF gets downloaded and it's constantly on for tens of seconds.
The problem with unlimited plans is when people constantly watch
ballgames or YouTube. I have no Internet cell phone but I can't imagine
audio being very expensive even on a limited plan.
People were thinking about satellite radio in the very late '80s and
early '90s; it took then until the turn of the century to get the birds
up and running (XM began broadcasting to the entire U.S. public on
September 25th, 2001, and Sirius did so on July 1st, 2002. Together
Sirius/XM now has more than 15 million subscribers (a lot better than HD
radio, eh?), so even though I think you're correct that it'll slowly die
due to 3G/4G, overall it's a concept that will likely end up having
lasted at least a good 25-30 years, which certainly isn't half-bad.
That's true, one can make money with a technology that's only lasting a
relatively short time.