Eeyore said:
Strawman. Where does the electricity come from at what efficiency ?
**Electricity generators. That may include:
* Coal fired plants (up to around 50% efficient).
* Nukes (up to around 40% efficient)
* Gas turbine (up to 60%)
* Wind (efficiency unimportant)
* PV cell (efficiency unimportant)
* Roof top PV cells (efficiency unimportant)
Don't forget: When you're judging automobiles, that several factors should
be considered:
* The vast majority of private cars in Australia are petrol powered.
* The actual efficiency of the engines in those cars is significantly lower
than the theoretical maximum.
* The cost of distribution (petrol tankers, petrol bowsers, lighting, etc)
should be taken into account (since you are costing electricity grids into
your costing).
Grid losses are typically in the order of 6-10% alone AIUI.
**In SOME cases (and the number is growing) Australians are generating much
of their own power from their own rooftops. Additionally, you need to accept
that the theoretical efficiency of a car engine is not the real-world
efficiency. You also need to add fuel distribution costs into your
equations.
And you're not going to replace all that coal fired electricity overnight.
**Indeed. THAT is the biggest problem I see. There is not a snowball's
chance in Hell that mass adoption of electric vehicles will occur anytime
soon. That should not stop planning for such an event right now, though.
The
only realistic option is a huge scale program of nukes.
**Nope. Australia has abundant reserves of geo-thermal energy, at costs
which rival nukes. Even better, public acceptance is pretty much assured.
Solar, wind and todal can supplement the base load plants. Don't foget: The
Sun shines a lot in Australia, over a wide range of time zones and at times
when demand is highest.
You have the uranium
AIUI. Result, the EV is currently LESS efficient than modern ICE based
proposals
and is inherently inflexible wrt long journeys.
**Indeed. However, we need to start planning for the lack of oil NOW.
There's not much being made right now. Sticking one's head in the sand and
saying: "electric cars are not as efficient as petrol cars" will not solve
the problem. Eventually, we have to find an alternative (or, more likely, a
range of alternatives).