....
No surprises for a century? I think you're missing the forest for the
trees.
Yes he is, but...
Think what would happen if you:
Told someone in 1950 that we'd be on the moon in 20 years.
Or told someone in 1980 that we would not be back to the moon in the next
30, that our mighty shuttle would still be our sole and failing manned space
vehicle, or that we would finally build a small space station and be unable
to keep it buisy or staff it.
Told someone in 1920 they could watch a ballgame from 500 miles away in 35
years?
Or that they would find kids who have never read a news story and think the
news is a 10 second byte with no references that go back beyond the film
archives.
Told someone in 1930 that we'd tap nuclear power in 15 years.
or told someone in 1950 that we would spend billions and still be 20 years
away from a fusion power source after 50 years of research.
Told someone in 1960 that in 25 years, you could have a faulty heart or
kidney replaced?
or told them that the typical uninsured worker could not afford to have any
of these wonderful miracles performed, or if he did he would be more likely
to die of a careless error and his heirs collect pennies because the
government of the USA has stepped in to protect, not him, but the huge
careless health industry.
Told someone in 1970 that an 300+ passenger commercial airplane would
be designed solely on computers in 30 years.
Or that computer viruses and data hacks steal billions from us, bring
business to a halt, and the problem is growing every day.
Told someone in 1980 that you could send a message to a friend in
China from your home computer in 15 years.
Or that the person recieving the message could go to jail for sending you
back a greeting without getting permission from the government. (Wait, isn't
that OUR homeland security's recommendation?)
Note that our historic self would be very impressed that we would have
supercomputers on every desk top and in most homes, even available in most
third world countries, but they would expect robots that would embody AI and
do most dangerous labors. They would be shocked because they had no idea
that a semi-intelligent autonomous machine was so difficult to develop.