Bill said:
Bill said:
Bill Sloman wrote:
[...]
You don't believe me and call it "unsubstantiated".
I don't disbelieve you either, but there are other
explanations. You certainly haven't substantiated your
polyp-snipping explanation - which would require
evidence that enough polyps had been removed to
explain the difference, and even that wouldn't
demonstrate that there weren't other factors in play.
Which is flat wrong. You tend to make up this stuff,
stuff that clearly contradicts clinical evidence.
Nothing I've said contradicts clinical evidence. ...
Sure it does. You said "unsubstantiated" and that is simply
wrong.
It isn't. You are over-interpreting the clinical evidence.
No. Talk to a cancer specialist about it. I have.
I'll talk to my cancer specialist acquaintance next time I see him.
He's out of town a lot regulating breast cancer trials, but we do
seem to catch up with him and his wife (who is a retired expert on
cancer statistics) from time to time.
In breast cancer the situation is similar, the mortality rate there is
also lower in the US than countries with socialized medicine such as
Canada or the UK.
That's between 50% and 60% of the affected population screened -
which is to say that they have all had fecal occult blood tests
(FOCT). ...
In the US they also do colon scans in addition past a certain age. It's
efficient, works almost like a conveyor belt. Pretty modern technology
and they let me witness my own scan via a patient-side monitor. I was
surprised how fast the technician was speeding the probe through the
intestine. But a doctor looks at that later and can slow down or zoom in
when he/she suspects something.
... In fact that's the percentage of the people sampled who
responded, but the New York data does suggests that the respondents
aren't wildly different from the non-respondents.
The same URL also demonstrates that there's appreciable difference in
the rates of colorectal cancer from state to state - more than
between the US average and the German and Canadian average, and that
this doesn't correlate with the percentage of the affected population
screened.
http://www.cdc.gov/cancer/colorectal/statistics/state.htm
In some states there are more people who refuse scanning or treatment.
Beats me why. It's sad, I know a person whose cancer spread because of
that and it does not look good right now.
Also, they can't force you to do a colonoscopy. But they are pushy, for
good reasons.
New York is a 40.9 to 43.6 per 100,000 - appreciably higher than
Canada as a whole.
Nope, the incidence rate is much higher in Canada:
http://www.cancer.ca/en/cancer-information/cancer-type/colorectal/statistics/?region=on
21,000 colonoscopies isn't a lot for a state with a population of
19.5 million people. 20% of that is 4,000 sets of polyps snipped,
about 40 per 100,000 (since only about half the population is FOCT
screened) which is about the same as the colorectal cancer rate. Only
about 10% of these patients (338) had polyps that were actively
cancerous, so the rest wouldn't have gotten into the cancer
statistics.
You misunderstand that. The 20% who had polyps snipped now have a
greatly reduced chance of ever developing colon cancer. Because it was
caught at a very early stage where you don't even know whether they
would become malignant. But as the saying goes, an ounce of prevention ...
The 338 cases are those who literally came in five minutes to twelve.
Had they not been screened those people would most likely have died soon.
Polyp-snipping has a substantial longterm benefit. It can save you 20 or
30 years from now. Ask the wife of your breats cancer specialist friend,
she should know.
The underlying colorectal cancer rate for New York has to be even
higher than the 40.9 to 43.6 per 100,000 shown on the map,
outstripping Canada and Germany even further, and again suggesting
that US colorectal cancer is different breed of cat to the
US/Canadian one - or rather a different range and distribution of of
cancers to the range and distribution that the the Canadians and
Germans have to cope with.
Check the link above.
On this point you are preaching to the converted. Not converted
enough to go out and buy a FOCT test kit from my local chemist, but
probably converted enough to talk to my GP about it next Monday
during my regular every-six-months appointment.
Well, ours comes in the mail for free and when not back within 14 days
there will be a phone call. And another, and another ...
And thanks very much for digging out the statistical information I
was after. I've now got a much clearer picture of what the US does in
this area, and it's good. Your health system is still grossly
over-priced for what it does, and only does it for the fully insured
70%, but at least it seems to get colorectal cancer screening as
close to right as is humanly practical.
Same for numerous other cancers. If a woman doesn't show up for the
Ob/Gyn tests or the mammogram it's the same, they keep calling. Then
there are regular blood sample tests for males and females. It's like at
an airport. You sign in, pick a number, a monitor shows when it's your
turn and to which stall to go, you stretch out your arm, and it'll be
done. At home you can go online and see the results trickle in as they
come back from the various labs. At the end you receive a letter with
all details summarized (but you can opt out and go paperless).
This will also tell you other valuable things, like what your
cholesterol levels are, liver values, and so on. Kind of important to
know, yet most people in countries with socialized medicine don't get
that screened. They are tested for this only after an event. Which is
sometimes too late.
Overpriced, yes, absolutely. But that requires tackling tort law. What
is being done in Obamacare will not make anything less expensive, on the
contrary. Since it adds a layer of bureaucracy it will make everything
go up in cost.
You are also right about the 70%. But that is not going to change much,
despite all the hype about it. Because the penalties are ridiculously
low and youngsters rather plunk down their money towards a new Dodge
Challenger with mag wheels rather than seeing it being slurped up by
health premiums. The vast majority of people without health care that I
know have no health care because they chose to spend all their money on
fun stuff. Boats, trailers, electronics, sports gear, cars, you name it.
There are also regular commercial mass screening events where you get
the whole enchilada done in one visit for a fixed price of $199 or
something like that. We also have that for cardiac screening. A huge
tractor-trailer pulls up, after some whirring this that and the other
things slide out and, whoopdidou, you have a doctor's office right in
the parking lot of a church, supermarket or big company. Then they start
piping people through there. Therefore, sorry to say, it is not an
excuse if you don't have insurance. Those people should spend the $199
on themselves rather than a big-screen TV. And you do not need a $100/mo
gym membership, I just got a full workout in the Pine Hill Preserve
right here on my cheap mountain bike. Took it and myself to the limits.
It's simply a matter of priorities.